Monday, October 03, 2005

MIKE HOLMGREN MONDAY PRESSER

I just got back from mike HolmgrenÂ’s Monday press session. Here is a re-cap.

Holmgren says he doesn’t second guess the decision to run both plays before the missed field goal. Then I will do it for him. The whole premise is that he is scared of an interception. In his entire career Matt Hasselbeck averages just 2.8% of his passes being intercepted. That is crazy to make a decision based on that little a margain.

Moreover, Josh Brown’s percentage from 30 to 39 yards is 91% and from 40 to 49 is 62%. The risk of an interception is far inferior to the reward of gaining another ten yards. If you want to get deeper in the numbers. Here is the entire breakdown.
56.5% of the time Hasselbeck passes it is complete.
34.3% of the time Hasselbeck passes it is incomplete.
6.5% of the time Hasselbeck is sacked
2.7% of the time Hasselbeck throws an interception.

Therefore, he based his whole decision on 9.2% of the time. The numbers don’t lie.

On the injury front it is unlikely Bobby Engram will be able to go. He cracked a rib on the first play of the game and fought through it for most of the game. Floyd Womack is back and available, but he has had a death in the family so Sean Locklear is likely to start again. Locklear will be going up against Leonard Little.

Holmgren sited inexperience and youth for many of the third down issues. Guys were lined up wrong or made too much of an effort to disguise their blitz. On the final 3rd down conversion in overtime Michael Boulware blitzed from 16 yards off the line of scrimmage and was no where close to getting to Burnell.

The NFL has contacted Holmgren about the awful pass interference call on Boulware. That was a game changing bad call.

45 comments:

Myk said...

Here is my favorite stat:

---It allowed nine third-down conversions of 9 yards or more.---

Seriously don't you have to try to make that stat happen?..

Sonic EJ said...

Nice stats Locke.

Holmgren should start worrying about his job as much as he worries about interceptions and sacks because coaches who coach like he has over the last 3 years get fired a lot more than 9.2% of the time. Holmgren is still going to work everyday based on reputation. I hope he realizes he is creating a new one. The beginning of the end started a long time ago for Holmgren, we are almost at the end.

Sonic EJ said...

myk,

To answer your question, yes, it takes 4 quarters of focused defense to force a bad offense to be that effective on 3rd down.

Raise your hand if you think Ray Roads is useless without a talented front 7. Ok now I am typing with one hand.lol

cskarstens said...

this team has no effective leadership on the field whatsoever, either side of the ball. i see them continuing to be the average, mediocre team that that they have been for years to come until they prove otherwise to their opponents.

DC said...

For some unknown reason, I have 100% faith in Tim Ruskell to get players in here. However, Holmgren will never get to benefit from it. He's been coaching scared now for a few years instead of going for the jugular. The killer instinct is gone-- and so is he after this season.

Diezel said...

I can see why he ran two plays in a row, the fact that Washington had two timeouts so if they passed and had a incompletion, and Brown missed the Skins are obviously able to go deep( Monday vs the boys) but what really worries me is that we made the worst offense in the NFL look like the damm Colts of 04'. I can see why Holmgren has never beaten the Skins in his career!!

Locked on Sports said...

Great comments everyone. This matches the what was the intention of this blog. A little Locked on Sports all day long with good conversation, strong opinions, etc.
NICE WORK

Kieth Gilbertson said...

Oh shut up you asshole!! You F***** Mangina!!!!!

Biggie said...

Holmgren coaches scared, that is always a mistake. I hate how he just camps on leads, how come we can never put up 50, we have the second best offense in the league are you telling me that we are completly incapable of crushing another team besides the 49ers and Cardinals. That is a travesty. If ya'll don't agree with me on Lucas, so be it, but I happen to think he is one of the best corners in the NFL, and he is FAR better than any corner we currently have on this squad. He damn sure wouldn't have let Jimmy Smith catch that touchdown in week 1. We need a shut down corner like that, I know I'm crying over spilled milk but I hate watching the mistakes that this management (and the management of EVERY Seattle sports franchise) makes play out on the field. WHY weren't they going ape-shit to get Corey Simon, WE NEED THAT TYPE OF PLAYER, our corners would not be exposed like they are if we could maintain pressure on the QB. A defense can only be good if all parts (DL, LB, and DB) are doing their jobs, if one sucks it makes all the others look bad, look at the Pats, their D is not phenomenal but they get the job done (in the past) and thats because everyone is doing their job. Someone brought up Wistrom, HE'S A BUM, MYK and EJ you are stat guys, tell me what has this clown done since becoming a Seahawk?? He should have been jettisoned with the rest of the garbage that this team got rid of, except they won't because they GREATLY overpaid for his "services". Why is Tubbs big ass the invisible man??

Sonic EJ said...

Official Stats for Wistrom in the last 2 years:

Games played: 10 or so

Tackles: a few on first and second down, 0 on 3rd down

Sacks: what sacks?

Money stolen from Seahawks and their fans: Millions and counting

The stats don't lie, Wistrom is a bum.

Biggie said...

I HATE THAT MOTHERF*CKER!!!!!!!!!!

Anonymous said...

Black,

Don't blame it all on Holmgren how about that brilliant defensive coordinator Rhodes. His defense couldn't even stop my grandma from carrying her groceries across a busy street!!LOL

Biggie said...

If Brown made that kick, the defense wouldn't even be an issue. Douchebag!!

Anonymous said...

If the defense wouldn't have given the Skins 16 plays per possession then maybe our offense would have had more opportunities to be on the field to score! Instead the defense got tired and the offense spent most of the day sitting on the bench, blackhole!!!!

Biggie said...

But, if Brown made that kick we win, correct??

Stop being an ass and answer the question.

Biggie said...

The defense only gave up 17 points, in regulation, if we would have won, that would be a good mark for our 'D'.

Anonymous said...

We shouldn't have to really on kicker if the defense does their job. The Redskins have one of the lamest offenses in the league and have a QB as old as dirt. Your fart could have stopped them in their tracks!!!

Anonymous said...

I mean rely not really sorry

Anonymous said...

I mean rely not really sorry

Biggie said...

I think you mean rely, regardless of what we "shouldn't" have to rely on we did have to rely on our kicker and he blew it. So your point is...............?? The Skins are 3-0 what's our record??Obviosly their offense does what it needs to do, right??

Anonymous said...

And our defense doesn't do what it needs to do

Biggie said...

neither does our kicker!!! LOL

Anonymous said...

He lost one game for us but what did the defense do most of last year and this year? Let teams back in the game and not play to their abilities. You've been smoking too much crack Black to not remember those come from behind wins like St Louis had on us. That's why ESPN always makes fun of the Hawks for giving up big leads. Dodo!!!

Biggie said...

How many players are on this defense from last year?? Thanks, now go somewhere with your dumbass.

Anonymous said...

Who is still the defensive coordinator? YOU DO YOUR HOMEWORK STUPID!!LOL!!!!

Biggie said...
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Biggie said...
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Anonymous said...

I don't hate Ray Rhodes. I find it funny that you blame one game on our kicker when the big picture says that the defense got their ass handed to them the whole game and was responsible for most of our losses.

Your last comment shows your true racist beliefs. So Sad.

Biggie said...

I've never hidden my feelings on matters such as this, are you new to this blog??

Biggie said...

I wasn't stating that you "hated" Ray Rhodes you moron, why the hate towards ME??? Dumbass!!

Anonymous said...

I don't even hate you black, just trying to make sense of your warped beliefs.

Biggie said...
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Anonymous said...

Black,

I came here from Vietnam in 1973 direct from the boat. I wouldn't say I got cheered on back then, but I got my fair share of heckling and fights from the Americans including blacks. So don't take credit for your ancestors pain back in the slave days when you got it much better than they did. Black or white you are all guilty of racism.

Myk said...

Black..

- Lucas sure helped that Carolina D shut down Mr. Favre, eh?

- You are positively on crack if you say that the Defense did not have a hand in losing the game on Sunday. It allowed NINE STRAIGHT third-down conversions of 9 yards or more. That is seriously the most pathetic display of defense I have ever seen. Simple statistics say that a great kicker will miss 3 out of every 10 FGs of 45+ or more, but a D should stop a team on third and 9 about 80% of the time, so who had the biggest downfall?

Biggie said...
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Biggie said...
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Anonymous said...

Ban the black!!!!

Biggie said...
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Diezel said...

black.... I have to agree with most of the peeps that are saying the D was our downfall, granted Josh Brown missed two fg's but to have a team go down the field on u on the first drive of the game and have a 21 play drive is freaking unacceptable, Ray should lose his job on that fact alone!!!!

Once again when is team going to admit failure and let Tubbs go, the word on him by kiper before the draft was that he's lazy and takes plays off, but yet we still drafted him.

Biggie said...

Diezel,

No sh*t the 'D' was our downfall. It's just that Mr. Brown could have taken the spotlight off of it a little, Kickers do 2 things Kickoffs and fieldgoals. That was one of the worst feelings ever dude, seeing the offense scrap like warriors to tie it up the sorry ass 'D' finally get a turnover and we BLOW IT. Just make your kicks, how do you hit from 53 and then miss twice from 47?????? WTF!!! I know the 'D' let us down, I didn't want to say it but I've been losing faith in Ray Rhodes since he got here, and it looked so damn good on paper, I hate this crap!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Myk said...

I agree with everyone's sentiment that Holmgren needs to start being the aggressor. He must not have confidence in someone to do this because he was like that in Green Bay.

Maybe all those dropped passes?

Maybe he wants to be ball control because our Defense sucks?

Maybe he tries to hard to get Shaun in the flow?

I don't know what it is but I think that our Defense would be at least marginally better if the Offense gave them the 30pts a game that they are capabale of.

Mike Barer said...

If Josh Brown makes the field Goal the Seahawks are 3-1 and Holmgren's a genious. I think everyone needs to see the big picture. Holmgren did gamble on 4th down. If we tried to move the ball and had a costly turnover, Holmgren would have been roasted for that.
I think the Seahawks deserve praise for making a great comeback in a hostile environment.

Mike Barer said...

If Josh Brown makes the field Goal the Seahawks are 3-1 and Holmgren's a genious. I think everyone needs to see the big picture. Holmgren did gamble on 4th down. If we tried to move the ball and had a costly turnover, Holmgren would have been roasted for that.
I think the Seahawks deserve praise for making a great comeback in a hostile environment.

Anonymous said...

I don't think it's just the fans anymore who are getting tired of Holmgren. I think the players are too.

How can you play conservative when you were aggresive the previous drive to tie the score? He went for it on 4th down on their side of the field nonetheless.

I'm sure the players are probably pissed when you consider the fact that they played their butts off just to be in a position to win, only to have a coach who considers himself an offensive guru become fearful of a turnover.

Ruskell keeps bringing in players on a weekly basis to improve areas of weaknesses on the team, he needs to do the same with the coach.

Myk said...

Mike,

- Holmgren would not have been roasted for making a turnover that would have fallen on Hasslebeck. Was anyone watching the game after the INT going, good we have a 47yard field goal, I know that he is going to make?

You can't coach scared like he does, if our offense is so great it should consistently score 30+ pts a game.