THE METHOD TO THE MADNESS OF BRACKETOLOGY BY THE NUMBERS

BRACKETOLOGY BY STATS – 2006 UPDATE
Here is the method to all this madness. I have done a stat breakdown of the last 44 Final Four teams to dictate what a Final Four team. With that I have created the 9 thresholds that all Final Four teams have meet. If you don’t reach these you will not go the Final Four..

YOU WILL NOT GO TO THE FINAL FOUR IF …
1. Offensive Efficiency is below 90 ---
2. If you defensive efficiency is above 87..
3. If your efficiency differential is below 8
4. Effective Field Goal % is under 49%
5. If your defensive Effective Field Goal % is over 50%
6. If your effective field goal % differential is under 2.
7. If your rebounding % is below 50%
8. If you turnover more than 19% of your possessions
9. If you turnover just 15% of your defensive possessions.

Then to get a little more detail I found 9 things that would put you in the 15% of all Final Four teams. They are ….
YOU ARE BUCKING THE TREND TO GO TO THE FINAL FOUR IF ….
1. Your offensive efficiency is below 92. (7 of last 44)
2. If your defensive efficiency is over 83. (4 of the last 44)
3. If your efficiency differential is below 11. (6 of last 44)
4. If you effective field goal % is under 50% (4 of the last 44)
5. If you defensive effective field Goal % is over 47% (7 of last 44)
6. If you Field Goal differential is under 5 (6 of last 44)
7. If you turn it over more than 18% of your possessions (7 of 44)
8. If your defensive turns over under 16% of their possessions (5 of last 44)
9. If your assisted field goals is below 55% (6 of last 44)

Finally, what does a Final Four team look like. These are the qualities that 65% of the last 11 years worth of Final Four Teams have.
YOU CAN GO TO THE FINAL FOUR IF ….(65% of Final Four Teams)
1. Offensive Efficiency over 93 you are in good shape. 29 of 40 Final Four teams.
2. Defensive Efficiency under 80 also in good shape. 27 of 40 Final Four teams.
3. Efficiency Difference is over 15 then 28 of 44 teams.
4. Effective Field Goal over 52.5% for 28 of 44 teams.
5. Defensive effective Field Goal below 46% for 30 of 44 teams
6. Field Goal Differential over 7 and 30 of 44.
7. Rebounding % over 53% 29 of 44 teams.
8. Turnover % is under 17% then 27 of 44 teams.
9. Defensive turnover % must be over 18% 34 of 44 teams