Realize the only reason the Sonics have a superior offensive efficiency number is the offensive rebounding.
What does this mean for the Sonics margain for error?
2004-05 Season
Stat Sonics Raptors
O Efficiency 109.2 105.2
Effective FG% 49.5 49.2
Offensive Reb% 32.4 23.7
Turnover % 13.3 13.0
Free Throws Per 26 25.6
D Efficiency 107.8 107.7
Def Effective FG% 49.6 49.9
Def Rebounding% 71.3 71.7
Def Turnover % 13.8 14.2
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5 comments:
This is an important find. The teams are also very similar on three point shooting amount and %, free throw attempts/made, blocks, etc.
But the team win/loss difference was more than rebounding; it was rebounding differential (a huge difference of 8), defense (raptors were 5 points worse), coaching, and clutch play. But we no longer have any of these advantages so far this year.
Raptors were 5 points worse in actual points allowed rather than an officeincy rating which is standardized to 100 possessions.
The pace the teams played were slightly different. The Raptors gave up about 4 more shots a game (while only shooting 2 more), which led to almost 4 points scored by the opponent and the Raptors 1% higher FG% allowed than the Sonics, which taken over all shots, adds another point to make a 5 point difference.
The Sonics had 7 guys who shot over 50% eFG in the clutch last year and Ray Allen was actually only 46% but took the most responsibility. Radmanovic, Fortson, Collison and James were all above 60%, Lewis 56%, Daniels 51%. Ridnour onlt 35% eFG. Murray, Wilkins, Evans also over 50% in limited minutes.
Toronto had guys over 50% in the clutch too, but their two main guys Bosh and Rose werent.
Correction: the Raptors only had a fraction of a 1% higher FG% allowed as you corectly note, but over 85 shots that still makes for most of a point, as I stated.
Luke a good night on offense, but not defense or clutch leadership.
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